Science of Seasonal Climate Prediction

s Statistical seasonal climate forecasting in Australia: An historical overview Dr Roger Stone......................................................................................................................................................................................18 The scientific basis of seasonal climate prediction Dr Scott Power.......................................................................................................................................................................................19 Predictability limits for seasonal climate variability: Methodologies and current estimates Dr Arun Kumar.......................................................................................................................................................................................20 Applications of seasonal predictions in Australia Dr Holger Meinke................................................................................................................................................................................21 Imperfect forecasts and forecast value Associate Professor Andrew Vizard........................................................................................................................................22 Towards more valuable seasonal climate forecasts for farmers Dr Peter McIntosh...............................................................................................................................................................................23 Communicating skilful but uncertain seasonal climate forecasts Dr Peter Hayman..................................................................................................................................................................................24 Evaluation of forecast ensembles Dr Simon Mason...................................................................................................................................................................................25 Evaluating the skill of seasonal forecasts: Methods and problems Dr Robert Fawcett...............................................................................................................................................................................26 International standards of long-range forecast assessment Dr Andrew Watkins............................................................................................................................................................................27 Intra-seasonal and decadal variability: Implications for seasonal prediction Dr Harry Hendon.................................................................................................................................................................................28 Climate change and seasonal predictions Dr Ian Smith.............................................................................................................................................................................................29 Future directions in the science of seasonal prediction. Dr Oscar Alves........................................................................................................................................................................................30 List of acronyms .............................................................................................................................. 31